In reply to <a href="https://macdailynews.com/2020/04/23/bill-gates-getting-a-covid-19-vaccine-by-2h21-would-be-history-making-achievement/#comment-2190965">applecynic</a>.
Obviously I understand that the total and case fatality rates represent the mean across all places and times. However, for all the fatal cases from places with prevalence above the mean, there must be exactly as many cases from places below the mean. Since 20% of all US deaths come from NYC, which has 2.6% of the population, the average for the rest of the country must be significantly lower than the overall mean.
The Five Boroughs aren’t the only hot spot. The surrounding Tri-State region also has deaths far above the national per capita average, as do Detroit, New Orleans, Boston, and several other places. That puts the fatality rates in non-hotspot localities lower still. That seems inconsistent with the notion that the novel coronavirus is so highly infectious that nearly everybody everywhere has caught it.
If that
